Braemar Property Value Report: January-February 2019 (Arista Series)

Braemar Property Value Report: January-February 2019 (Arista Series)

As I type up this most recent Braemar Property Value Report for home sales in the Arista Series, it is St. Patrick’s Day.  Will the luck of the Irish be with us in this report? Thankfully, luck has nothing to do with the market.  It’s all supply and demand.  Keeping regularly tabs on the market stats gives us the best idea of where supply and demand are trending.

Before we get to the report itself, if you don’t know what a Braemar Arista Series home is, they are the largest homes built by Brookfield Homes in Braemar.  The floor plans include the Allister, Buckingham and Canterbury.

During the current reporting period of January and February, there were no Arista homes that sold.  Supply problem or demand problem?  Hmm.  We’ll know next report because there are currently quite a few Arista homes on the market.

What we can do is take a look at the refreshed six and twelve month average and median values. 

Unfortunately, the six month average and median sold prices have fallen below the twelve month average and median sold prices.  Values had been slipping in recent sales near the end of the year.  That is an indication that demand for the largest homes in the neighborhood was waning.  Only time will tell if that continues.

Seller subsidy (closing cost assistance to buyers) is much lower in the six month values compared to the twelve month values.  Buyers in the most sales did not require large amounts of closing cost help.  That’s good news.

When it comes to days on market (marketing time) we see mixed information.  The six month average marketing time is lower than the twelve month marketing time.  Meanwhile, the six month median marketing time is higher than the twelve month median.  Neither change is very dramatic.

If you placed your Braemar Arista home on the market, priced to current conditions, these numbers indicate that your home should be under contract and well on it’s way to settlement, in eight to ten weeks.  You could also expect to pay a small amount in closing cost help.

The next Braemar Property Value Report will be out in May.  Until then, if you would like to know what your home would be worth in today’s market, call me for a free market analysis.  Since 2005, No One Knows Braemar Better! 

Chris Ann Cleland 

Associate Broker-Licensed in VA

Long & Foster REALTORS®

703-402-0037, ChrisAnn@LNF.com

www.SellingBraemar.com

www.UncompromisingValues.com

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Braemar Property Value Report: November-December 2018 (Ryan Homes)

Braemar Property Value Report: November-December 2018 (Ryan Homes)

There is no more appropriate picture for the Ryan Homes edition of the Braemar Property Value Report being published today than the one above.  That was an Oberlin model that I sold as a Short Sale a few years ago.  As a Top Braemar Real Estate Agent, I get plenty of gorgeous weather shots of homes, but not too many in the snow.  That’s because not many folks list for sale in the winter months.

You may be surprised how much demand we actually have during the winter in Braemar.  This report alone covers the months of November and December, which most think are dead zones are in real estate.  Yet, there were four sales of homes built by Ryan Homes in our neighborhood in the last two months of 2018.  The details of those sales are listed below:

First thing you may notice are the outliers at either end of the sold price spectrum:  $440,000 and $615,000.  Fortunately, the method of taking these four sales and compiling them with the entire past year’s worth of Ryan home sales, we get a more stable picture of what is happening with values by separating out six and twelve month data points.

Stability leaps off the table in the sold price column.  The six month average sold price is only $133 below the twelve month average sold price.  Meanwhile the six and twelve month median sold prices are exactly the same.  Really, Ryan homes have not gained, or lost any ground.

Seller subsidy (closing cost assistance) seems to have decent trend happening when we look at the six month average falling below the twelve month average.   Yet the six month median seller subsidy is the same as the twelve month median seller subsidy.  Of course looking at two of the most recent sales above, they fall above both of the average and median seller subsidy   Probably best to call this one stable for now.

Days on market is a category that is going to be tricky for a while.  In November, our region switched to a new MLS system which counts days on market differently.  So until we have a full year’s worth of data in the new MLS, which would be this same time next year, we can’t conclusively say what’s what.  However, glancing at the six month average and median values compared to the twelve month average and median values, I’m not seeing the increase in marketing time that I expected with the new MLS.

If you placed your Ryan home on the market, priced to current conditions, you could expect it to be under contract and potentially well on its way to settlement within two months.  You could also expect to pay at least half of one percent of the sales price in closing cost help.

The next Braemar Property Value Report will be out in late March.  If you would like to receive the full, letter size, Ryan Homes Braemar Property Value Report by email, send me an email at ChrisAnn@LNF.com.   Of course, if the time comes when selling is in your future, call me for a free market analysis.  Since 2005, No One Knows Braemar Better!

Chris Ann Cleland 

Associate Broker-Licensed in VA

Long & Foster REALTORS®

703-402-0037, ChrisAnn@LNF.com

www.SellingBraemar.com

www.UncompromisingValues.com

Braemar Property Value Report: November-December 2018 (NV Homes)

Braemar Property Value Report: November-December 2018 (NV Homes)

The forecast is not looking good for tomorrow afternoon.  Warnings are coming through loud and clear in the weather reports I’m hearing on the radio.  I’ll trust the meteorological pros and stay off the roads in the late afternoon and evening.  My area of expertise is Braemar real estate.  Speaking of Braemar real estate, it is time for another Braemar Property Value Report, focusing on sales of houses built by NV Homes in our neighborhood.  This reporting period covers November and December 2018.

During the last two months of last year, there was only one NV home that sold.  It was a Wynterhall model that sold price $615,000.  The details of that sale are as follows:

Taking that sale and combining it with all the NV home sale data from 2018, we get updated six and twelve month data points. Let’s see what those new values are telling us.

Even with the high sold price in our current report, the six month average and median sold prices are both below the twelve month average and median sold prices.  That indicates that NV home values are beginning to dip.  Not surprising because the larger homes in our neighborhood built by Brookfield Homes are also showing a dip in value.

When it comes to seller subsidy (closing cost assistance for buyers) is also showing a trend not favorable to NV home sellers.  Both the six month average and median seller subsidy values are higher than their twelve month counterparts.  Sellers are giving more in closing cost help.  Even the most recent sale gave seller subsidy higher than the most recent average and median values.  

Days on market, or marketing time as I like to call it, shows yet another unfavorable seller trend.  The six month markers shows it takes longer to go under contract than the twelve month markers.  However, this may not necessarily be true.  In mid-November, our region switched to a new MLS system which counts days on market differently.  It will be this time next year before we have a true apples to apples comparison on marketing time.

If you placed your NV home on the market, priced to current conditions, you could expect it to be under contract in less than two months.  You could also expect to pay less than 1% of the sales price in closing cost help.

The next Braemar Property Value Report will be out in late March.  If you would like to sign up for email delivery of the full, letter size report, email me at ChrisAnn@LNF.com.  Of course, when the time comes when a sale may be on your horizon, give me a call at 703-402-0037.  Since 2005, No One Knows Braemar Better!

Chris Ann Cleland 

Associate Broker-Licensed in VA

Long & Foster REALTORS®

703-402-0037, ChrisAnn@LNF.com

www.SellingBraemar.com

www.UncompromisingValues.com

 

Braemar Property Value Report: September-October 2018 (Ryan Homes)

Braemar Property Value Report: September-October 2018 (Ryan Homes)

If there was one mediocre weather event that I could get rid of, it would be days of strong, gusting winds.  As much as I dislike rain, I would rather have that than wind.  At least the sound of rain is soothing.  The sound of a strong gust of wind hitting my house has the opposite effect.   Might be time to get lost in my headphones with some good music playing while I present this Braemar Property Value Report detailing sales of Ryan Homes in our community.

During our current reporting period, which is the months of September and October, there were four Ryan Homes sold in Braemar.  Their sold prices ranged from $430,000 to $500,000 and are detailed below.

Taking these most recent sales and placing them in with the last year’s worth of Ryan Home sales, we get new six month and twelve month data points that will give us some indications as to what is happening with home values and other data points important to Ryan Home owners in Braemar.

Looking first at the six month average sold price compared to the twelve month average sold price, we see a drop in average value in the short term.  The six month median sold price is also below the twelve month median sold price, but not by as much.  Time will tell if this is a downward trend in value, or if this our market reaching a more stable condition.  The seller’s market has definitely cooled.

Better news is that seller subsidy (closing cost assistance to buyers) is down in both the six month average and median value compared to their twelve month counterparts.  This means Ryan Home owners in Braemar are giving less in closing cost help to buyers.

Days on the market, which I like to refer to as marketing time, shows a slight decrease in average days on market in the six month values compared to the twelve month values.  The six month median days on market, however, shows a much more significant decrease in marketing time.  Ryan Homes in Braemar seem to be selling a bit faster.

If you placed your Ryan Home on the market, priced to current conditions, you could expect it to be under contract in a month or two.  Odds are also in your favor that you could expect to give a nominal amount in closing cost help.

The next Braemar Property Value Report will be out in January.  If you would like to sign up for direct email of these reports when they are ready, send me an email to ChrisAnn@LNF.com with “BPVR Request” in the subject line.   Include your property address, so I can get you the proper report, and the email address where you would like to receive it.

Until January, if you find yourself in a position to sell in our year end market, don’t panic.  There are many actually advantages to off-season selling.  Give me a call for a free market analysis anytime.  Since 2005, No One Knows Braemar Better!

Chris Ann Cleland 

Associate Broker-Licensed in VA

Long & Foster REALTORS®

703-402-0037, ChrisAnn@LNF.com

www.SellingBraemar.com

Braemar Property Value Report: September-October 2018 (NV Homes)

Braemar Property Value Report: September-October 2018 (NV Homes)

It is probably obvious to you that not every real estate agent you may know that serves our area goes to the trouble of preparing market reports for the area.  Sure, there are cut and paste lines from the MLS that make it to my door, but they give you all the information for the neighborhood.  How is that helpful?  If you own an NV Home, does it matter how long it took a townhouse to sell?  Or a carriage home?  Or a house in the age restricted Dunbarton?  No, it doesn’t.  That’s why I personally prepare these reports myself, and take the time to explain them to you.

Today’s Braemar Property Value Report focuses on sales of NV Homes, of which there were two during our reporting period of September and October.  The details of those sales are listed below:

When I take these two sales and replace September and October 2017 in my rolling year’s worth of NV Home sales, I am able to get a fresh look at our six and twelve month average and median data points.  They now look like this:

When comparing six month values to twelve month values, the shorter term are indicative of current trends when compared to the longer term.  The six month average sold price has fallen slightly below the twelve month average sold price.  By itself, that may be a sign of a slowing market for sellers.  However, the fact that the six month median value is the same as the twelve month median does not give that indication.  What NV homeowners are experiencing are stable market values.

Seller subsidy (closing cost assistance to buyers) is showing short term trends that NV homeowners will love.  The six month average seller subsidy is lower than the twelve month average seller subsidy.  The six month median seller subsidy is way below the twelve month median seller subsidy.  This means that NV homeowners have been giving less money in closing cost help to buyers.

Days on market, or as I call it, marketing time is another showing stability.  The six month average marketing time is about two weeks faster than the twelve month average marketing time.  That’s great and by itself would be indicative of a trend that NV Homes are selling faster.  However, when we look at the median marketing times in the six and twelve month markers, we see they are exactly the same.  This is stability in marketing time as far as I am concerned.

If you placed your NV Home on the market, priced to current conditions, you could expect it to be under contract in under fifty days.  You could also expect to give under 1% of the sales price in closing cost help.

The next Braemar Property Value Report will be out in January.  If you would like to be on the email list to receive the report relevant to your home style, send me an email at ChrisAnn@LNF.com with BPVR Request in the subject line.  Then give me your property address and email address where you would like the report delivered.

Of course, if you have a need to sell this year end, don’t panic.  Give me a call at 703-402-0037 and I’ll be happy to go over comps and tell you why my year end listings sell.  Since 2005, No One Knows Braemar Better!

Chris Ann Cleland 

Associate Broker-Licensed in VA

Long & Foster REALTORS®

703-402-0037, ChrisAnn@LNF.com

www.SellingBraemar.com

 

Braemar Property Value Report: September-October 2018 (Arista Series)

Braemar Property Value Report: September-October 2018 (Arista Series)

Before starting some preparation for Thanksgiving dishes tomorrow, I thought it would be a good idea to put out this Braemar Property Value Report detailing sales of Arista Series homes in our neighborhood for September and October.  Even though it is fall, there is a lot going on in our market, not even mentioning the news that Amazon chose Arlington for its headquarters.  It is likely some of those newly employed by Amazon will be moving to Prince William County and an Arista Home would be a great choice for them.  If you are wondering what Arista homes are,  they  are the largest homes built by Brookfield Homes and include the Allister, Buckingham and Canterbury floor plans.  

There was only one Arista home that sold in our current two month reporting period.  It was a Canterbury that sold for $570,000.  It had originally listed for an optimistic $615,000.  The final list price, in the details below was $589,900.

When we take this sale and run updated six and twelve month data points, here is what we find:

The good news is that the six month average and median sold prices are higher than the twelve month average and median sold prices.  The trend present in comparing the six month values to the twelve month values is that Arista home prices are still going up.  However, it is not great to know that the most recent sale falls below all but the twelve month average.  If future sales continue to slump, this trend will be coming to a halt.

A trend that is not great for seller is that the average and median six month seller subsidy (closing cost help to buyers) is much higher than the twelve month average and median seller subsidy values.  As our marketplace has been dealing with slowing demand, buyers are asking for more and more closing help.  However, there may be a tad of hope that the most recent sale in October gave no closing help.  Unfortunately, I think that may because of the low sales price.

When it comes to days on market, or marketing time, not much has changed in the short term compared to the longer term.  Arista homes are taking about the same amount of time to sell.  Perhaps we’ll get a lift in marketing time and sold prices as those new Amazon employees discover these lovely homes in Braemar.

If you placed your Arista home on the market, priced to current conditions, you could expect it to sell in as little as a month and a half or as long as nearly eleven weeks.  You could also expect to pay $10,000 to $12,000 in seller subsidy.

The next Braemar Property Value Report will be out in Januaury.  Until then, I hope you have a wonderful holiday season.  If you find yourself in a position to sell between now and then, give me a call.  The year end market has a lot of benefits I would love to share with you.  Since 2005, No One Knows Braemar Better!

Chris Ann Cleland 

Associate Broker-Licensed in VA

Long & Foster REALTORS®

703-402-0037, ChrisAnn@LNF.com

www.SellingBraemar.com

Braemar Reflection Quarterly: July-September 2018 (3rd Quarter)

Braemar Reflection Quarterly: July-September 2018 (3rd Quarter)

Let’s wrap up the month of October with the final report of my quarterly Braemar market reports.  This is the Braemar Reflection Quarterly.  It covers sales of the semi-attached homes located on Tarvie Circle, behind the Safeway shopping center, that are attached at the garage only.

There was quite a bit of sales activity in the third quarter, where we saw four Reflection homes sell.  The details of those sales are listed below:

All of the sales in the third quarter were homes that had no egress from the basement.  Come to think of it, I’m not sure there are any Reflection homes with basement egress.  If you have one, I’d love to hear about it and know if it was added after construction.  When we take these four sales and plug them in with the previous three quarters of sales activity, we get new six and twelve month data points, as follows:

The trend we most like to see in the sold price column is higher values in the six month average and median compared to the twelve month average and median.  While the six month average sold price is higher than the twelve month average sold price, the median sold price is exactly the same in the six and twelve month median values.  This is mixed information.  Average sold price increase in the six month over the twelve month indicates Reflection home prices are rising.  However, the same value in the six and twelve month median indicates Reflection home prices are stable.  Only time will tell which is correct.

The seller subsidy (closing cost help to buyers) is showing a definite trend.  The six month average and median seller subsidy are both higher than their twelve month counterparts.  That means sellers are giving more money in closing cost help.

Days on market (marketing time) is showing stability and a quickening of the sales of Reflection homes in Braemar.  The six month average marketing time is shorter than the twelve month average marketing time.  However, the six and twelve month median marketing times are the exact same.  Which is correct?  We have to wait for the next report to find out.

If you placed your Braemar Reflection home on the market, priced to current conditions, you could expect it to be under contract in two to three weeks.  You could also expect to pay about 2% of the sales price in closing cost help.

The next Braemar Reflection Quarterly will be out in January.  Until then, if the need to move arises, don’t count out our year end real estate market.  Give me a call for a free market analysis and I’ll tell why the year end selling season is my favorite market.  Since 2005, No One Knows Braemar Better!

Chris Ann Cleland 

Associate Broker-Licensed in VA

Long & Foster REALTORS®

703-402-0037, ChrisAnn@LNF.com

www.SellingBraemar.com